BlackRock ISF (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B62C5H76 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 2,348  62.00  2.71%

    BlackRock ISF probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of BlackRock ISF Dev Wld Idx Sub performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify BlackRock ISF time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BlackRock ISF odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    BlackRock ISF Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     2,348 30 days 2,348  ABOUT 1.04%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of BlackRock ISF to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 1.04% (This BlackRock ISF Dev Wld Idx Sub probability density function shows the probability of BlackRock ISF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, BlackRock ISF Dev Wld Idx Sub has beta of -0.192 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding BlackRock ISF are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, BlackRock ISF Dev Wld Idx Sub is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BlackRock ISF Dev Wld Idx Sub has an alpha of 0.0781 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0781% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     BlackRock ISF Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.08
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.19
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =846.61
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.11

    BlackRock ISF Alerts

    BlackRock ISF Alerts and Suggestions

    BlackRock ISF Dev generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 99.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    BlackRock ISF Health Indicators

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