Babson Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B6YX4M65 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 14,340  10.00  0.07%

    Babson Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Babson Capital European Loan A GBP Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Babson Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Babson Capital odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Babson Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     14,340 30 days 14,340  NEAR 1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Babson Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Babson Capital European Loan A GBP Acc probability density function shows the probability of Babson Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 39.0112 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Babson Capital will likely underperform. In addition to that Babson Capital European Loan A GBP Acc has an alpha of 490.4587 implying that it can potentially generate 490.4587% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Babson Capital Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =490.46
    β
    Beta against DOW=39.01
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4,938
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.21

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