Vanguard SRI probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Vanguard SRI European Stock GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Vanguard SRI time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vanguard SRI odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
|Horizon||30 Days Login to change|
Vanguard SRI Target Price Odds to finish over
|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
|0.00||30 days||0.00||ABOUT 73.89%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard SRI to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 73.89% (This Vanguard SRI European Stock GBP probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard SRI Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard SRI has beta of 0.0858 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Vanguard SRI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard SRI European Stock GBP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard SRI European Stock GBP has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW.
Vanguard SRI Price Density
|Alpha over DOW||=||0.02|
|Beta against DOW||=||0.09|