Federated (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B84QQ566 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 9,268  0.00  0.00%

    Federated probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Federated US Total Return Bond I GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Federated time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Federated odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    Federated Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9,268 30 days 9,268  NEAR 1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated to move above current price in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Federated US Total Return Bond I GBP probability density function shows the probability of Federated Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 52.1113 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Federated will likely underperform. In addition to that Federated US Total Return Bond I GBP has an alpha of 456.6215 implying that it can potentially generate 456.6215% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Federated Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =456.62
    β
    Beta against DOW=52.11
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =2,366
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.21

    Federated Alerts

    Federated Alerts and Suggestions

    Federated US Total is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
    Federated US Total Return Bond I GBP retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

    Price Density Drivers

    Federated Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
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