|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 9,268 ||30 days|| 9,268 || NEAR 1%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated to move above current price in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Federated US Total Return Bond I GBP probability density function shows the probability of Federated Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 52.1113 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Federated will likely underperform. In addition to that Federated US Total Return Bond I GBP has an alpha of 456.6215 implying that it can potentially generate 456.6215% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).