GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    IE00B88LXR84 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 27.73  0.20  0.72%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     27.73 30 days 27.73  NEAR 1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is near 1% (This GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star has beta of 0.0 . This indicates unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and GAM Star are completely uncorrelated. Additionally GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD AccIt does not look like GAM Star alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     GAM Star Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =9.93
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.22

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions
    GAM Star Japan generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 99.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.