Principal Post (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    IE00B89Z5284 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 686.00  0.00  0.00%

    Principal Post probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Principal Post time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Principal Post odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Principal Post Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     686.00 30 days 686.00  ABOUT 19.87%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Principal Post to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.87% (This Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc probability density function shows the probability of Principal Post Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Principal Post has beta of 0.0619 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Principal Post average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Principal Post Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.02
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.06
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =352.84
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.45

    Principal Post Alerts

    Principal Post Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.