Principal Post (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B89Z5284 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 676.00  1.00  0.15%

    Principal Post probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Principal Post time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Principal Post odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Principal Post Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     676.00 30 days 676.00  ABOUT 28.32%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Principal Post to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 28.32% (This Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc probability density function shows the probability of Principal Post Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc has beta of -0.0085 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Principal Post are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Principal Post Glb is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Principal Post Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.0085
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.16

    Principal Post Alerts and Suggestions

    Principal Post Glb is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

    Principal PostPrice Density Drivers