Principal Post (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    Principal Post probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Principal Post time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Principal Post odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Principal Post Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     0.00 30 days 0.00  ABOUT 88.37%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Principal Post to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 88.37% (This Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc probability density function shows the probability of Principal Post Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Principal Post has beta of 0.0134 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Principal Post average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Principal Post Glb Ltd Term HY I HdgInc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Principal Post Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.04
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0134
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =346.15
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.38

    Principal Post Alerts

    Principal Post Alerts and Suggestions

    Principal Post Glb is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Principal Post Glb generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Principal Post Glb has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
    The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

    Price Density Drivers

    Principal Post Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.
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