Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     0.00 30 days 0.00  ABOUT 92.34%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 92.34% (This Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital has beta of 0.1865 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Polar Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP has an alpha of 0.0645 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0645% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Polar Capital Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.06
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.19
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =92.10
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.030535

    Polar Capital Alerts

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions

    Polar Capital Japan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Polar Capital Japan has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
    The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Polar Capital Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Crypto Portfolio Optimizer module to optimize portfolio of digital coins and token across multiple currency and exchanges.
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