Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B8BJYW18 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 197.00  0.00  0.00%

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     197.00 30 days 197.00  ABOUT 25.55%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.55% (This Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP has beta of -0.0078 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Polar Capital are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Polar Capital Japan Alpha C GBP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0793 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0793% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Polar Capital Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.08
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0078
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =89.22
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.05

    Polar Capital Alerts

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions

    Polar Capital Japan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Polar Capital Japan generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Polar Capital Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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