BNY Mellon (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B90MJZ61 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 1.45  0.04  2.68%

    BNY Mellon probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of BNY Mellon Global Equity Inc USD W Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify BNY Mellon time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BNY Mellon odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    BNY Mellon Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.45 30 days 1.45  ABOUT 31.07%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of BNY Mellon to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.07% (This BNY Mellon Global Equity Inc USD W Acc probability density function shows the probability of BNY Mellon Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, BNY Mellon has beta of 0.2995 . This indicates as returns on market go up, BNY Mellon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding BNY Mellon Global Equity Inc USD W Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. BNY Mellon Global is significantly underperforming DOW.
     BNY Mellon Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.14
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.30
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.72
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.15

    BNY Mellon Alerts

    BNY Mellon Alerts and Suggestions

    BNY Mellon Global is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    BNY Mellon Global generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    BNY Mellon Global may become a speculative penny stock
    The fund retains about 6.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    BNY Mellon Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
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