Trojanome Feeder (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B947ZW64 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 1.07  0.02  1.83%

    Trojanome Feeder probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Trojanome Feeder O EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Trojanome Feeder time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Trojanome Feeder odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Trojanome Feeder Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.07 30 days 1.07  ABOUT 13.35%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Trojanome Feeder to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 13.35% (This Trojanome Feeder O EUR probability density function shows the probability of Trojanome Feeder Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Trojanome Feeder O EUR has beta of -0.1142 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Trojanome Feeder are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Trojanome Feeder O EUR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1419 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1419% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Trojanome Feeder Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.11
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.027353

    Trojanome Feeder Alerts and Suggestions

    Trojan Income Feeder is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Trojan Income Feeder generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Trojan Income Feeder has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
    The fund retains about 5.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Trojanome FeederPrice Density Drivers