Milltrust India (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B9601C50 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 152.91  1.76  1.16%

    Milltrust India probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Milltrust India A USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Milltrust India time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Milltrust India odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Milltrust India Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     152.91 30 days 152.91  ABOUT 33.74%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Milltrust India to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 33.74% (This Milltrust India A USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of Milltrust India Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Milltrust India A USD Acc has beta of -0.4678 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Milltrust India are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Milltrust India A USD Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Milltrust India A USD Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Milltrust India Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.0018
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.47
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =77.98
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.05

    Milltrust India Alerts

    Milltrust India Alerts and Suggestions

    Milltrust India A is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

    Price Density Drivers

    Milltrust India Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine historical correlation between any two equity instruments.
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