PIMCO GIS (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    IE00BMTRWY37 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 10.75  0.02  0.19%

    PIMCO GIS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PIMCO GIS US Short Term Inst USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify PIMCO GIS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PIMCO GIS odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    PIMCO GIS Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.75 30 days 10.75  ABOUT 20.76%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PIMCO GIS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.76% (This PIMCO GIS US Short Term Inst USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of PIMCO GIS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PIMCO GIS has beta of 0.0997 . This indicates as returns on market go up, PIMCO GIS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding PIMCO GIS US Short Term Inst USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PIMCO GIS US Short Term Inst USD Acc has an alpha of 0.0177 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0177% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     PIMCO GIS Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.017721
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.1
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.52
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.48

    PIMCO GIS Alerts

    PIMCO GIS Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains about 45.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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