Russell Multi (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00BQPWDC54 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 87,639  776.00  0.88%

    Russell Multi probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Russell Multi Strategy Vol A H Roll Up performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Russell Multi time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Russell Multi odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Russell Multi Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     87,639 30 days 87,639  ABOUT 72.09%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Russell Multi to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 72.09% (This Russell Multi Strategy Vol A H Roll Up probability density function shows the probability of Russell Multi Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Russell Multi has beta of 0.0933 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Russell Multi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Russell Multi Strategy Vol A H Roll Up will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Russell Multi Strategy Vol A H Roll Up has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Russell Multi Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.15
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.09
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =378.65
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.49

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