|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 1,528 ||30 days|| 1,528 || ABOUT 31.4%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Old Mutual to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.4% (This Old Mutual Eurp Ex UK Smlr Coms R probability density function shows the probability of Old Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Old Mutual Eurp Ex UK Smlr Coms R has beta of -0.3255 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Old Mutual are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Old Mutual Eurp Ex UK Smlr Coms R is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Old Mutual Eurp Ex UK Smlr Coms R has an alpha of 0.3547 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3547% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).