Northern Trust (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    IE00BRYG9J40 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 10.21  0.20  1.92%

    Northern Trust probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Northern Trust Euro Fundamental Idx A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Northern Trust time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Northern Trust odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Northern Trust Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.21 30 days 10.21  ABOUT 76.03%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Trust to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 76.03% (This Northern Trust Euro Fundamental Idx A probability density function shows the probability of Northern Trust Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Northern Trust has beta of 0.0 . This indicates unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and Northern Trust are completely uncorrelated. Additionally Northern Trust Euro Fundamental Idx AIt does not look like Northern Trust alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     Northern Trust Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.14
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.00

    Northern Trust Alerts

    Northern Trust Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains 98.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.