JOHCM Continental (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00BSJCJ493 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 125.00  3.00  2.34%

    JOHCM Continental probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JOHCM Continental European A GBP Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JOHCM Continental time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JOHCM Continental odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    JOHCM Continental Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     125.00 30 days 125.00  ABOUT 5.54%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JOHCM Continental to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 5.54% (This JOHCM Continental European A GBP Hdg probability density function shows the probability of JOHCM Continental Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 95.0 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, JOHCM Continental will likely underperform. In addition to that JOHCM Continental European A GBP Hdg has an alpha of 1342.7239 implying that it can potentially generate 1342.7239% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     JOHCM Continental Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =1,343
    β
    Beta against DOW=95.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =58.02
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.35

    JOHCM Continental Alerts

    JOHCM Continental Alerts and Suggestions

    JOHCM Continental is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 97.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
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