IE00BTFRDZ46 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00BTFRDZ46 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 96.38  0.26  0.27%

    IE00BTFRDZ46 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of IE00BTFRDZ46 IR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify IE00BTFRDZ46 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like IE00BTFRDZ46 odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    IE00BTFRDZ46 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     96.38 30 days 96.38  ABOUT 24.63%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of IE00BTFRDZ46 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 24.63% (This IE00BTFRDZ46 IR probability density function shows the probability of IE00BTFRDZ46 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, IE00BTFRDZ46 has beta of 0.0067 . This indicates as returns on market go up, IE00BTFRDZ46 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding IE00BTFRDZ46 IR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. IE00BTFRDZ46 IR is significantly underperforming DOW.
     IE00BTFRDZ46 Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.0067
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.18

    IE00BTFRDZ46 Alerts and Suggestions

    IE00BTFRDZ46 IR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 91.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

    IE00BTFRDZ46Price Density Drivers