Spinnaker Emerg (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00BXQ9NT15 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 10,034  0.00  0.00%

    Spinnaker Emerg probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Spinnaker Emerg Mkts Macro S1 GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Spinnaker Emerg time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Spinnaker Emerg odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Spinnaker Emerg Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10,034 30 days 10,034  UNDER 4%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Spinnaker Emerg to move above current price in 30 days from now is under 4% (This Spinnaker Emerg Mkts Macro S1 GBP probability density function shows the probability of Spinnaker Emerg Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 95.0 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Spinnaker Emerg will likely underperform. In addition to that Spinnaker Emerg Mkts Macro S1 GBP has an alpha of 240.2509 implying that it can potentially generate 240.2509% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Spinnaker Emerg Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =240.25
    β
    Beta against DOW=95.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4,211
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.15

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    Spinnaker Emerg Mkts is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

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