Tiburon Taiko (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00BYM6JS46 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 104,972  2,548  2.49%

    Tiburon Taiko probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Tiburon Taiko GBP I Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Tiburon Taiko time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tiburon Taiko odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Tiburon Taiko Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     104,972 30 days 104,972  ABOUT 8.18%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Tiburon Taiko to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 8.18% (This Tiburon Taiko GBP I Hdg probability density function shows the probability of Tiburon Taiko Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 95.0 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Tiburon Taiko will likely underperform. In addition to that Tiburon Taiko GBP I Hdg has an alpha of 238.1745 implying that it can potentially generate 238.1745% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Tiburon Taiko Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =238.17
    β
    Beta against DOW=95.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =52,368
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.15

    Tiburon Taiko Alerts

    Tiburon Taiko Alerts and Suggestions

    Tiburon Taiko GBP is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Tiburon Taiko GBP generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Tiburon Taiko Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
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