GVQ Opportunities (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00BYMY5C45 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,185  4.00  0.34%

    GVQ Opportunities probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GVQ Opportunities A GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GVQ Opportunities time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GVQ Opportunities odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GVQ Opportunities Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,185 30 days 1,185  ABOUT 22.1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GVQ Opportunities to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.1% (This GVQ Opportunities A GBP probability density function shows the probability of GVQ Opportunities Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GVQ Opportunities has beta of 0.0715 . This indicates as returns on market go up, GVQ Opportunities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GVQ Opportunities A GBP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GVQ Opportunities A GBP has an alpha of 0.2735 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2735% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     GVQ Opportunities Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.27
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.07
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =8.46
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.75

    GVQ Opportunities Alerts

    GVQ Opportunities Alerts and Suggestions

    GVQ Opportunities is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 99.93% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
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