Icahn Enterprises Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.5

IEP Stock  USD 17.16  0.31  1.77%   
Icahn Enterprises' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Icahn Enterprises LP. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Icahn Enterprises based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Icahn Enterprises LP over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-22 CALL at $17.0 is a CALL option contract on Icahn Enterprises' common stock with a strick price of 17.0 expiring on 2024-03-22. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-18 at 10:28:19 for $0.5 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.55. The implied volatility as of the 19th of March is 69.0. View All Icahn options

Closest to current price Icahn long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Icahn Enterprises' future price is the expected price of Icahn Enterprises instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Icahn Enterprises LP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Icahn Enterprises Backtesting, Icahn Enterprises Valuation, Icahn Enterprises Correlation, Icahn Enterprises Hype Analysis, Icahn Enterprises Volatility, Icahn Enterprises History as well as Icahn Enterprises Performance.
  
As of 03/19/2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -9.88. In addition to that, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.52. Please specify Icahn Enterprises' target price for which you would like Icahn Enterprises odds to be computed.

Icahn Enterprises Target Price Odds to finish over 45.5

The tendency of Icahn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 45.50  or more in 90 days
 17.16 90 days 45.50 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Icahn Enterprises to move over $ 45.50  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Icahn Enterprises LP probability density function shows the probability of Icahn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Icahn Enterprises price to stay between its current price of $ 17.16  and $ 45.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.56 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Icahn Enterprises has a beta of 0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Icahn Enterprises average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Icahn Enterprises LP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.176, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Icahn Enterprises Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Icahn Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Icahn Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Icahn Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Icahn Enterprises in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5917.1119.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4421.2423.76
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.5727.0029.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.250.250.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Icahn Enterprises. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Icahn Enterprises' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Icahn Enterprises' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Icahn Enterprises.

Icahn Enterprises Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Icahn Enterprises is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Icahn Enterprises' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Icahn Enterprises LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Icahn Enterprises within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Icahn Enterprises Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Icahn Enterprises for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Icahn Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.92 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (698 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B.
Icahn Enterprises has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investorplace.com: High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Avoid 3 Dangerous Picks

Icahn Enterprises Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Icahn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Icahn Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Icahn Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding382 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 B

Icahn Enterprises Technical Analysis

Icahn Enterprises' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Icahn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Icahn Enterprises LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Icahn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Icahn Enterprises Predictive Forecast Models

Icahn Enterprises' time-series forecasting models is one of many Icahn Enterprises' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Icahn Enterprises' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Icahn Enterprises

Checking the ongoing alerts about Icahn Enterprises for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Icahn Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.92 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (698 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B.
Icahn Enterprises has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investorplace.com: High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Avoid 3 Dangerous Picks
When determining whether Icahn Enterprises is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Icahn Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Icahn Enterprises Lp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Icahn Enterprises Lp Stock:
Check out Icahn Enterprises Backtesting, Icahn Enterprises Valuation, Icahn Enterprises Correlation, Icahn Enterprises Hype Analysis, Icahn Enterprises Volatility, Icahn Enterprises History as well as Icahn Enterprises Performance.
Note that the Icahn Enterprises information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Icahn Enterprises' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Icahn Stock analysis

When running Icahn Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Icahn Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Icahn Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Icahn Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Icahn Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Icahn Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Icahn Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Icahn Enterprises' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Icahn Enterprises. If investors know Icahn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Icahn Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.631
Dividend Share
6
Earnings Share
(1.75)
Revenue Per Share
28.359
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
The market value of Icahn Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Icahn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Icahn Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Icahn Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Icahn Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Icahn Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Icahn Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Icahn Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Icahn Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.