iShares MSCI (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IJPHL -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 4,186  167.00  3.84%

    iShares MSCI probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of iShares MSCI Japan GBP Hedged ETF Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify iShares MSCI time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like iShares MSCI odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    iShares MSCI Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     4,186 30 days 4,186  ABOUT 27.54%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of iShares MSCI to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.54% (This iShares MSCI Japan GBP Hedged ETF Acc probability density function shows the probability of iShares MSCI Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, iShares MSCI Japan GBP Hedged ETF Acc has beta of -0.073 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding iShares MSCI are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, iShares MSCI Japan GBP Hedged ETF Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally iShares MSCI Japan GBP Hedged ETF Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW.
     iShares MSCI Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.13
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.07
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =1,986
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.022726

    iShares MSCI Alerts

    iShares MSCI Alerts and Suggestions

    iShares MSCI Japan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    iShares MSCI Japan generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
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