Israel Corp (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 50650.0

ILCO Stock  ILA 100,000  1,560  1.58%   
Israel Corp's future price is the expected price of Israel Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Israel Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Israel Corp Backtesting, Israel Corp Valuation, Israel Corp Correlation, Israel Corp Hype Analysis, Israel Corp Volatility, Israel Corp History as well as Israel Corp Performance.
  
Please specify Israel Corp's target price for which you would like Israel Corp odds to be computed.

Israel Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 50650.0

The tendency of Israel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  50,650  in 90 days
 100,000 90 days 50,650 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Israel Corp to stay above  50,650  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Israel Corp probability density function shows the probability of Israel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Israel Corp price to stay between  50,650  and its current price of 100000.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Israel Corp has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Israel Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Israel Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Israel Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Israel Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Israel Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Israel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Israel Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99,998100,000100,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95,81595,818110,000
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103,503103,506103,508
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84,99392,628100,263
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Israel Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Israel Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Israel Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Israel Corp.

Israel Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Israel Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Israel Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Israel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Israel Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.80
σ
Overall volatility
4,413
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Israel Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Israel Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Israel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Israel Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Israel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Israel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Israel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 M

Israel Corp Technical Analysis

Israel Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Israel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Israel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Israel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Israel Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Israel Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Israel Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Israel Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Israel Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Israel Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Israel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Israel Corp Backtesting, Israel Corp Valuation, Israel Corp Correlation, Israel Corp Hype Analysis, Israel Corp Volatility, Israel Corp History as well as Israel Corp Performance.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Israel Stock analysis

When running Israel Corp's price analysis, check to measure Israel Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Israel Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Israel Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Israel Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Israel Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Israel Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Israel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Israel Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Israel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.