Inbar Group (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 266.00
| INBR Stock | 266.00 18.90 6.63% |
Inbar |
Inbar Group Target Price Odds to finish over 266.00
The tendency of Inbar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 266.00 | 90 days | 266.00 | about 90.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inbar Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.73 (This Inbar Group Finance probability density function shows the probability of Inbar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inbar Group Finance has a beta of -1.73. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Inbar Group Finance are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Inbar Group is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Inbar Group Finance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Inbar Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inbar Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inbar Group Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inbar Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inbar Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inbar Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inbar Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inbar Group Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inbar Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.36 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 139.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Inbar Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inbar Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inbar Group Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inbar Group Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inbar Group Finance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Inbar Group Finance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.2 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.54 M). | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Inbar Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inbar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inbar Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inbar Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.7 M |
Inbar Group Technical Analysis
Inbar Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inbar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inbar Group Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inbar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inbar Group Predictive Forecast Models
Inbar Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inbar Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inbar Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inbar Group Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inbar Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inbar Group Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inbar Group Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inbar Group Finance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Inbar Group Finance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.2 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.54 M). | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Inbar Group Backtesting, Inbar Group Valuation, Inbar Group Correlation, Inbar Group Hype Analysis, Inbar Group Volatility, Inbar Group History as well as Inbar Group Performance. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Inbar Stock analysis
When running Inbar Group's price analysis, check to measure Inbar Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inbar Group is operating at the current time. Most of Inbar Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inbar Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inbar Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inbar Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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