Invesco India (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    INF205K01KT4 -- India Fund  

    INR 1,531  0.17  0.0111%

    Invesco India probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Invesco India time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco India odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Invesco India Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,531 30 days 1,531  ABOUT 30.89%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco India to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.89% (This Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr probability density function shows the probability of Invesco India Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr has beta of -0.0232 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Invesco India are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr has an alpha of 0.0744 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0744% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Invesco India Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.07
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =595.49
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.49

    Invesco India Alerts

    Invesco India Alerts and Suggestions

    The fund retains about 80.17% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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