Invesco India (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    INF205K01KT4 -- India Fund  

    INR 1,536  1.72  0.11%

    Invesco India probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Invesco India time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco India odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Invesco India Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,536 30 days 1,536  ABOUT 34.65%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco India to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 34.65% (This Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr probability density function shows the probability of Invesco India Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Invesco India has beta of 0.0025 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Invesco India average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Invesco India Bank Debt Dir Gr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0894 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0894% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Invesco India Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.09
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0025
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =380.10
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.049751

    Invesco India Alerts

    Invesco India Alerts and Suggestions

    Invesco India Bank is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 80.17% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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