Inrom Construction (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0

INRM Stock  ILS 1,154  5.00  0.43%   
Inrom Construction's future price is the expected price of Inrom Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inrom Construction Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inrom Construction Backtesting, Inrom Construction Valuation, Inrom Construction Correlation, Inrom Construction Hype Analysis, Inrom Construction Volatility, Inrom Construction History as well as Inrom Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Inrom Construction's target price for which you would like Inrom Construction odds to be computed.

Inrom Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0

The tendency of Inrom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 0.00  or more in 90 days
 1,154 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inrom Construction to drop to S 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Inrom Construction Industries probability density function shows the probability of Inrom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inrom Construction price to stay between S 0.00  and its current price of S1154.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inrom Construction has a beta of 0.5. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inrom Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inrom Construction Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inrom Construction Industries has an alpha of 0.2016, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Inrom Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inrom Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inrom Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inrom Construction's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1571,1591,161
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1221,1231,275
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1641,1661,167
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1501,1741,198
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inrom Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inrom Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inrom Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inrom Construction.

Inrom Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inrom Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inrom Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inrom Construction Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inrom Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.20
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.50
σ
Overall volatility
51.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Inrom Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inrom Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inrom Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inrom Construction has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Inrom Construction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inrom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inrom Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inrom Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.1 M

Inrom Construction Technical Analysis

Inrom Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inrom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inrom Construction Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inrom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inrom Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Inrom Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inrom Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inrom Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inrom Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inrom Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inrom Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inrom Construction has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Inrom Construction Backtesting, Inrom Construction Valuation, Inrom Construction Correlation, Inrom Construction Hype Analysis, Inrom Construction Volatility, Inrom Construction History as well as Inrom Construction Performance.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Inrom Stock analysis

When running Inrom Construction's price analysis, check to measure Inrom Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inrom Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Inrom Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inrom Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inrom Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inrom Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Inrom Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inrom Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inrom Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.