Irish Residential (Ireland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.0

IRES Stock  EUR 1.00  0.02  1.96%   
Irish Residential's future price is the expected price of Irish Residential instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Irish Residential Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Irish Residential Backtesting, Irish Residential Valuation, Irish Residential Correlation, Irish Residential Hype Analysis, Irish Residential Volatility, Irish Residential History as well as Irish Residential Performance.
  
Please specify Irish Residential's target price for which you would like Irish Residential odds to be computed.

Irish Residential Target Price Odds to finish over 1.0

The tendency of Irish Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.00 90 days 1.00 
about 72.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Irish Residential to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.24 (This Irish Residential Properties probability density function shows the probability of Irish Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Irish Residential has a beta of 0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Irish Residential average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Irish Residential Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Irish Residential Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Irish Residential Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Irish Residential

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Irish Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Irish Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.002.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.032.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.022.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.971.001.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Irish Residential. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Irish Residential's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Irish Residential's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Irish Residential.

Irish Residential Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Irish Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Irish Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Irish Residential Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Irish Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Irish Residential Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Irish Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Irish Residential can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Irish Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Irish Residential has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Irish Residential Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Irish Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Irish Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Irish Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding524.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.3 M

Irish Residential Technical Analysis

Irish Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Irish Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Irish Residential Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Irish Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Irish Residential Predictive Forecast Models

Irish Residential's time-series forecasting models is one of many Irish Residential's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Irish Residential's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Irish Residential

Checking the ongoing alerts about Irish Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Irish Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Irish Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Irish Residential has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

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When running Irish Residential's price analysis, check to measure Irish Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Irish Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Irish Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Irish Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Irish Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Irish Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Irish Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Irish Residential is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Irish Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.