Isras Investment (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74780.0

ISRS Stock  ILA 74,140  130.00  0.18%   
Isras Investment's future price is the expected price of Isras Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Isras Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Isras Investment Backtesting, Isras Investment Valuation, Isras Investment Correlation, Isras Investment Hype Analysis, Isras Investment Volatility, Isras Investment History as well as Isras Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Isras Investment's target price for which you would like Isras Investment odds to be computed.

Isras Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 74780.0

The tendency of Isras Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  74,780  after 90 days
 74,140 90 days 74,780 
about 72.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Isras Investment to stay under  74,780  after 90 days from now is about 72.32 (This Isras Investment probability density function shows the probability of Isras Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Isras Investment price to stay between its current price of  74,140  and  74,780  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Isras Investment has a beta of 0.0651. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Isras Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Isras Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Isras Investment has an alpha of 0.0226, implying that it can generate a 0.0226 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Isras Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Isras Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Isras Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Isras Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74,13974,14074,141
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59,94259,94381,554
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72,91872,91972,921
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73,67674,98076,284
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Isras Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Isras Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Isras Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Isras Investment.

Isras Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Isras Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Isras Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Isras Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Isras Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.07
σ
Overall volatility
2,217
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Isras Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Isras Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Isras Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Isras Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Isras Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Isras Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Isras Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Isras Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.4 M

Isras Investment Technical Analysis

Isras Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Isras Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Isras Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Isras Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Isras Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Isras Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Isras Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Isras Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Isras Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Isras Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Isras Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Isras Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Complementary Tools for Isras Stock analysis

When running Isras Investment's price analysis, check to measure Isras Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Isras Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Isras Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Isras Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Isras Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Isras Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Please note, there is a significant difference between Isras Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Isras Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Isras Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.