Ishares Global Tech Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 197.53

IXN Etf  USD 74.95  0.16  0.21%   
IShares Global's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on IShares Global Tech. Implied volatility approximates the future value of IShares Global based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in IShares Global Tech over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $75.0 is a CALL option contract on IShares Global's common stock with a strick price of 75.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-12 at 12:16:28 for $2.04 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $2.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 17.74. View All IShares options

Closest to current price IShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

IShares Global's future price is the expected price of IShares Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IShares Global Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IShares Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares Global Correlation, IShares Global Hype Analysis, IShares Global Volatility, IShares Global History as well as IShares Global Performance.
  
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IShares Global Target Price Odds to finish over 197.53

The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 197.53  or more in 90 days
 74.95 90 days 197.53 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares Global to move over $ 197.53  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This IShares Global Tech probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IShares Global Tech price to stay between its current price of $ 74.95  and $ 197.53  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.63 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, IShares Global will likely underperform. Additionally IShares Global Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   IShares Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IShares Global Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.7274.9076.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.5269.7082.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.7473.9375.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.6674.9775.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IShares Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IShares Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IShares Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IShares Global Tech.

IShares Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IShares Global Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0089
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

IShares Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IShares Global Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

IShares Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

IShares Global Technical Analysis

IShares Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IShares Global Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IShares Global Predictive Forecast Models

IShares Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares Global's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IShares Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IShares Global Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IShares Global Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether IShares Global Tech offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of IShares Global's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ishares Global Tech Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ishares Global Tech Etf:

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When running IShares Global's price analysis, check to measure IShares Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IShares Global is operating at the current time. Most of IShares Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IShares Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IShares Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IShares Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of IShares Global Tech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.