Jack In Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 77.0

JACK -- USA Stock  

USD 86.08  0.26  0.30%

Jack In probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Jack In The Box performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Jack In time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jack In odds to be computed. Please also check Jack In Backtesting, Jack In Valuation, Jack In Correlation, Jack In Hype Analysis, Jack In Volatility, Jack In History as well as Jack In Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Jack In Target Price Odds to finish below 77.0

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 77.00  or more in 30 days
 86.08 30 days 77.00 
ABOUT 28.58%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Jack In to drop to $ 77.00  or more in 30 days from now is about 28.58% (This Jack In The Box probability density function shows the probability of Jack In Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Jack In The price to stay between $ 77.00  and its current price of $86.08 at the end of the 30-day period is about 57.8%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Jack In has beta of 0.3961 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Jack In average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Jack In The Box will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2242 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2242% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Jack In Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.22
β
Beta against DOW=0.40
σ
Overall volatility
=5.45
Ir
Information ratio =0.1

Jack In Alerts and Suggestions

The company currently holds 1.01B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In The has Current Ratio of 0.47 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
Over 106.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors

Jack InPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out14.11%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.60
Short Percent Of Float16.21%
Float Shares24.16M
Shares Short Prior Month3.74M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day960.3k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month554.55k
Date Short InterestJuly 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.81%
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