John B Sanfilippo Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 98.4
| JBSS Stock | USD 96.65 0.53 0.55% |
Closest to current price John long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
John |
John B Target Price Odds to finish below 98.4
The tendency of John Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 98.40 after 90 days |
| 96.65 | 90 days | 98.40 | about 8.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John B to stay under $ 98.40 after 90 days from now is about 8.54 (This John B Sanfilippo probability density function shows the probability of John Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John B Sanfilippo price to stay between its current price of $ 96.65 and $ 98.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days John B has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, John B average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding John B Sanfilippo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally John B Sanfilippo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. John B Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for John B
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John B Sanfilippo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John B's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
John B Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John B is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John B's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John B Sanfilippo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John B within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
John B Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John B for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John B Sanfilippo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| John B Sanfilippo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John B Sanfilippo is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| John B Sanfilippo has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: John Dorfman 5 candidates for a small-stock comeback - TribLIVE |
John B Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John B's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John B's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 M |
John B Technical Analysis
John B's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John B Sanfilippo. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
John B Predictive Forecast Models
John B's time-series forecasting models is one of many John B's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John B's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about John B Sanfilippo
Checking the ongoing alerts about John B for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John B Sanfilippo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| John B Sanfilippo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| John B Sanfilippo is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| John B Sanfilippo has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: John Dorfman 5 candidates for a small-stock comeback - TribLIVE |
Check out John B Backtesting, John B Valuation, John B Correlation, John B Hype Analysis, John B Volatility, John B History as well as John B Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for John Stock analysis
When running John B's price analysis, check to measure John B's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John B is operating at the current time. Most of John B's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John B's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John B's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John B to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is John B's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of John B. If investors know John will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about John B listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.131 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 5.76 | Revenue Per Share 86.054 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 |
The market value of John B Sanfilippo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of John that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of John B's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is John B's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because John B's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect John B's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between John B's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John B is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John B's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.