Perkins Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.47
| JMVAX Fund | USD 15.55 0.09 0.58% |
Perkins |
Perkins Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 15.47
The tendency of Perkins Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 15.47 in 90 days |
| 15.55 | 90 days | 15.47 | about 53.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perkins Mid to stay above $ 15.47 in 90 days from now is about 53.76 (This Perkins Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Perkins Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perkins Mid Cap price to stay between $ 15.47 and its current price of $15.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This indicates Perkins Mid Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Perkins Mid is expected to follow. Additionally Perkins Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.0019, implying that it can generate a 0.001882 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Perkins Mid Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Perkins Mid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perkins Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perkins Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Perkins Mid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perkins Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perkins Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perkins Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perkins Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Perkins Mid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perkins Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perkins Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 96.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Perkins Mid Technical Analysis
Perkins Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perkins Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perkins Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perkins Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Perkins Mid Predictive Forecast Models
Perkins Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perkins Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perkins Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Perkins Mid Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Perkins Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perkins Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 96.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Perkins Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Perkins Mid Correlation, Perkins Mid Hype Analysis, Perkins Mid Volatility, Perkins Mid History as well as Perkins Mid Performance. Note that the Perkins Mid Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Perkins Mid's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.