Jpmorgan Income Builder Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.99

JNBSX Fund  USD 9.77  0.01  0.10%   
Jpmorgan Income's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Income Builder performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Income Correlation, Jpmorgan Income Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Income Volatility, Jpmorgan Income History as well as Jpmorgan Income Performance.
  
Please specify Jpmorgan Income's target price for which you would like Jpmorgan Income odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Income Target Price Odds to finish below 10.99

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 10.99  after 90 days
 9.77 90 days 10.99 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Income to stay under $ 10.99  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Jpmorgan Income Builder probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Income Builder price to stay between its current price of $ 9.77  and $ 10.99  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.7 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Income Builder has a beta of -0.01. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Jpmorgan Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Jpmorgan Income Builder is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jpmorgan Income Builder has an alpha of 0.0392, implying that it can generate a 0.0392 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Income Builder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.399.7710.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.359.7310.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.379.7510.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.559.699.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Income Builder.

Jpmorgan Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Income Builder, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Jpmorgan Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Income Builder can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Jpmorgan Income Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jpmorgan Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jpmorgan Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Jpmorgan Income Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Income Builder. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Income Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Income Builder

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Income Builder help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out Jpmorgan Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Income Correlation, Jpmorgan Income Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Income Volatility, Jpmorgan Income History as well as Jpmorgan Income Performance.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Jpmorgan Mutual Fund analysis

When running Jpmorgan Income's price analysis, check to measure Jpmorgan Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jpmorgan Income is operating at the current time. Most of Jpmorgan Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jpmorgan Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jpmorgan Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jpmorgan Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.