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JP Morgan Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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JPM -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

JP Morgan probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JP Morgan Chase Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JP Morgan time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JP Morgan odds to be computed. Please see JP Morgan Backtesting, JP Morgan Valuation, JP Morgan Correlation, JP Morgan Hype Analysis, JP Morgan Volatility, JP Morgan History as well as JP Morgan Performance.
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JP Morgan Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 121.37 30 days 121.37 
close to 99
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JP Morgan to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99 (This JP Morgan Chase Co probability density function shows the probability of JP Morgan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, JP Morgan has beta of 0.7504 . This indicates as returns on market go up, JP Morgan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding JP Morgan Chase Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 JP Morgan Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00004605
β
Beta against DOW=0.75
σ
Overall volatility
=3.00
Ir
Information ratio =0.014531

JP Morgan Alerts and Suggestions

JP Morgan Chase generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
JP Morgan Chase has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
JP MORGAN CHASE C has about 962.84 B in cash with (76.62 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 307.03.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On January 3, 2020 JP Morgan paid $ 0.9 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Lee Raymond of 464 shares of JP Morgan subject to Rule 16b-3

JP MorganPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out0.80%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.40
Short Percent Of Float0.77%
Float Shares3.06B
Shares Short Prior Month28.53M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.89M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.11M
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.47%