JRFOODS Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 5.95

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JRFOODS -- India Stock  

INR 3.70  0.17  4.82%

J R probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of J R FOODS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please specify J R time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like J R odds to be computed. Please see J R Backtesting, J R Valuation, J R Correlation, J R Hype Analysis, J R Volatility, J R History as well as J R Performance.
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J R Target Price Odds to finish over 5.95

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.95  or more in 30 days
 3.70 30 days 5.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of J R to move over  5.95  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This J R FOODS probability density function shows the probability of J R Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of J R FOODS price to stay between its current price of  3.70  and  5.95  at the end of the 30-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 30 trading days horizon, J R FOODS has a beta of -0.0772. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding J R are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, J R FOODS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2053, implying that it can potentially generate 0.21% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 J R Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.21
β
Beta against DOW=-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
=0.51
Ir
Information ratio =-0.0052

J R Alerts and Suggestions

J R FOODS has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
J R FOODS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 544.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 373.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. J R FOODS has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported revenue of 60.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (420.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (323.46 M).
About 53.0% of J R shares are held by company insiders

J RPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares4.14M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.37k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.41k
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