JUBILANT Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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JUBLFOOD -- India Stock  

INR 1,658  28.25  1.67%

JUBILANT FOODWORKS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JUBILANT FOODWORKS LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please specify JUBILANT FOODWORKS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JUBILANT FOODWORKS odds to be computed. Please see JUBILANT FOODWORKS Backtesting, JUBILANT FOODWORKS Valuation, JUBILANT FOODWORKS Correlation, JUBILANT FOODWORKS Hype Analysis, JUBILANT FOODWORKS Volatility, JUBILANT FOODWORKS History as well as JUBILANT FOODWORKS Performance.
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JUBILANT FOODWORKS Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 1,658 30 days 1,658 
about 34.44
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JUBILANT FOODWORKS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 34.44 (This JUBILANT FOODWORKS LTD probability density function shows the probability of JUBILANT FOODWORKS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, JUBILANT FOODWORKS has beta of 0.2348 . This indicates as returns on market go up, JUBILANT FOODWORKS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding JUBILANT FOODWORKS LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. JUBILANT FOODWORKS LTD is significantly underperforming DOW.
 JUBILANT FOODWORKS Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=-0.06
β
Beta against DOW=0.23
σ
Overall volatility
=189.91
Ir
Information ratio =-0.0092

JUBILANT FOODWORKS Alerts and Suggestions

JUBILANT FOODWORKS has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
JUBILANT FOODWORKS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

JUBILANT FOODWORKSPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.00
Float Shares74.26M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day37.67k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month46.21k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.33%
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