Kellogg Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

K -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Kellogg probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Kellogg Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Kellogg time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Kellogg odds to be computed. Please see also Kellogg Backtesting, Kellogg Valuation, Kellogg Correlation, Kellogg Hype Analysis, Kellogg Volatility, Kellogg History as well as Kellogg Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Kellogg Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 64.05 30 days 64.05 
about 14.39
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Kellogg to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 14.39 (This Kellogg Company probability density function shows the probability of Kellogg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Kellogg has beta of 0.4369 indicating as returns on market go up, Kellogg average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Kellogg Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Kellogg Company is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Kellogg Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.02
β
Beta against DOW=0.44
σ
Overall volatility
=0.91
Ir
Information ratio =0.09

Kellogg Alerts and Suggestions

Kellogg Company has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
The company has accumulated 8.37 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 254.5 implying that the company may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. Kellogg Company has Current Ratio of 0.78 which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due.
Over 89.0% of Kellogg shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from newsplanets.us: Make Or Break Stock For Part Time Investors - Kellogg Company, - News Planets

KelloggPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out4.89%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.25
Short Percent Of Float6.11%
Float Shares275.46M
Shares Short Prior Month17.11M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.65M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.9M
Date Short InterestOctober 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.54%
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