Loews Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

L -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Loews probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Loews Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Loews time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Loews odds to be computed. Please see also Loews Backtesting, Loews Valuation, Loews Correlation, Loews Hype Analysis, Loews Volatility, Loews History as well as Loews Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Loews Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 50.36 30 days 50.36 
about 35.39
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Loews to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 35.39 (This Loews Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Loews Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Loews has beta of 0.949 indicating Loews Corporation market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Loews is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Loews is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Loews Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.07
β
Beta against DOW=0.95
σ
Overall volatility
=1.17
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

Loews Alerts and Suggestions

The company has accumulated 12.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 54.7 implying that the company may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. Loews has Current Ratio of 0.47 which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due.
About 70.0% of Loews outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Lawrence Bacow of 2250 shares of Loews subject to Rule 16b-3

LoewsPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.25%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.25
Short Percent Of Float1.42%
Float Shares254.13M
Shares Short Prior Month2.87M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day820.75k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month947.28k
Date Short InterestOctober 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.50%
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