Loews Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.63

L Stock  USD 78.10  1.21  1.57%   
Loews Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Loews Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Loews Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Loews Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $80.0 is a CALL option contract on Loews Corp's common stock with a strick price of 80.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:09:39 for $0.3 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.35. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 11.58. View All Loews options

Closest to current price Loews long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Loews Corp's future price is the expected price of Loews Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Loews Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Loews Corp Backtesting, Loews Corp Valuation, Loews Corp Correlation, Loews Corp Hype Analysis, Loews Corp Volatility, Loews Corp History as well as Loews Corp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Loews Stock please use our How to buy in Loews Stock guide.
  
At this time, Loews Corp's Price Fair Value is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify Loews Corp's target price for which you would like Loews Corp odds to be computed.

Loews Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 46.63

The tendency of Loews Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 46.63  in 90 days
 78.10 90 days 46.63 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loews Corp to stay above $ 46.63  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Loews Corp probability density function shows the probability of Loews Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Loews Corp price to stay between $ 46.63  and its current price of $78.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Loews Corp has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Loews Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Loews Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Loews Corp has an alpha of 0.136, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Loews Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Loews Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loews Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loews Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.3778.1078.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.2989.6390.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
76.8777.6078.32
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
54.6060.0066.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Loews Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Loews Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Loews Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Loews Corp.

Loews Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loews Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loews Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loews Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loews Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.45
σ
Overall volatility
2.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Loews Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loews Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loews Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 9 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.63, which looks OK as compared to the sector. Loews Corp has a current ratio of 0.45, which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due. Debt can assist Loews Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Loews Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Loews Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Loews to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Loews Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 60.0% of Loews Corp shares are owned by institutional investors
On 5th of March 2024 Loews Corp paid $ 0.0625 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Heres Why We Think Loews Is Well Worth Watching

Loews Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loews Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loews Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loews Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding227.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments45.2 B

Loews Corp Technical Analysis

Loews Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loews Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loews Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loews Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Loews Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Loews Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Loews Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Loews Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Loews Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Loews Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loews Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 9 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.63, which looks OK as compared to the sector. Loews Corp has a current ratio of 0.45, which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due. Debt can assist Loews Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Loews Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Loews Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Loews to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Loews Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 60.0% of Loews Corp shares are owned by institutional investors
On 5th of March 2024 Loews Corp paid $ 0.0625 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Heres Why We Think Loews Is Well Worth Watching
When determining whether Loews Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Loews Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Loews Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Loews Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Loews Corp Backtesting, Loews Corp Valuation, Loews Corp Correlation, Loews Corp Hype Analysis, Loews Corp Volatility, Loews Corp History as well as Loews Corp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Loews Stock please use our How to buy in Loews Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Loews Stock analysis

When running Loews Corp's price analysis, check to measure Loews Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Loews Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Loews Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Loews Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Loews Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Loews Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Loews Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Loews Corp. If investors know Loews will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Loews Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.334
Dividend Share
0.25
Earnings Share
6.29
Revenue Per Share
69.901
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.123
The market value of Loews Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Loews that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Loews Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Loews Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Loews Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Loews Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Loews Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Loews Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loews Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.