Loews Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 50.52

L -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Loews probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Loews Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Loews time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Loews odds to be computed. Please see also Loews Backtesting, Loews Valuation, Loews Correlation, Loews Hype Analysis, Loews Volatility, Loews History as well as Loews Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Loews Target Price Odds to finish below 50.52

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 50.52  or more in 30 days
 50.61 30 days 50.52 
about 55.44
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Loews to drop to $ 50.52  or more in 30 days from now is about 55.44 (This Loews Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Loews Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Loews price to stay between $ 50.52  and its current price of $50.61 at the end of the 30-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.16 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Loews will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Loews is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Loews Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.05
β
Beta against DOW=1.16
σ
Overall volatility
=0.78
Ir
Information ratio =0.04

Loews Alerts and Suggestions

Loews generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company has accumulated 12.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 54.7 implying that the company may be unable to produce cash to meet its debt commitments. Loews has Current Ratio of 0.47 which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due.
About 70.0% of Loews outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from nysenasdaqlive.com: Loews Corporation Hesitation To Buy The Stock Might Leave You Upset - Nyse Nasdaq Live

LoewsPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.15%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.25
Short Percent Of Float1.30%
Float Shares254.13M
Shares Short Prior Month3.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.13M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month923.21k
Date Short InterestNovember 29, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.50%
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