QVC (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

LB3A -- Germany Stock  

EUR 17.85  0.67  3.62%

QVC probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of QVC Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify QVC time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like QVC odds to be computed. Please see also QVC Backtesting, QVC Valuation, QVC Correlation, QVC Hype Analysis, QVC Volatility, QVC History as well as QVC Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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QVC Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 17.85 30 days 17.85  ABOUT 92.5%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of QVC to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 92.5% (This QVC Group probability density function shows the probability of QVC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, QVC has beta of 0.278 indicating as returns on market go up, QVC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding QVC Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally QVC Group has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 QVC Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.06
β
Beta against DOW=0.28
σ
Overall volatility
=0.99
Ir
Information ratio =0.008223

QVC Alerts

QVC Alerts and Suggestions

QVC Group generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
QVC Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
QVC Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 7.36B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 127.7 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. QVC Group has Current Ratio of 0.95 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.

Price Density Drivers

QVC Health Indicators

Float Shares412.95M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day70
Average Daily Volume In Three Month20
Please see also QVC Backtesting, QVC Valuation, QVC Correlation, QVC Hype Analysis, QVC Volatility, QVC History as well as QVC Performance. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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