QVC (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

LB3A -- Germany Stock  

EUR 18.15  0.00  0.00%

QVC probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of QVC Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify QVC time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like QVC odds to be computed. Please see also Stocks Correlation.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Symbol:
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QVC Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 18.15 30 days 18.15  ABOUT 28.91%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of QVC to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 28.91% (This QVC Group probability density function shows the probability of QVC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, QVC has beta of 0.2271 indicating as returns on market go up, QVC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding QVC Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally QVC Group has an alpha of 0.3375 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3375% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 QVC Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.34
β
Beta against DOW=0.23
σ
Overall volatility
=8.44
Ir
Information ratio =0.43

QVC Alerts

QVC Alerts and Suggestions

QVC Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
QVC Group generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
QVC Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
QVC Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Latest headline from pressoracle.com: Head to Head Review Qurate Retail Inc Series A vs. CDW
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