Qurate Retail (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.45
| LB3A Stock | EUR 0.91 0.02 2.15% |
Qurate |
Qurate Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 16.45
The tendency of Qurate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 16.45 after 90 days |
| 0.91 | 90 days | 16.45 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qurate Retail to stay under € 16.45 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Qurate Retail Series probability density function shows the probability of Qurate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qurate Retail Series price to stay between its current price of € 0.91 and € 16.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qurate Retail Series has a beta of -0.24. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qurate Retail are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qurate Retail Series is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qurate Retail Series has an alpha of 0.3656, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qurate Retail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qurate Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qurate Retail Series. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qurate Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Qurate Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qurate Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qurate Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qurate Retail Series, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qurate Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Qurate Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qurate Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qurate Retail Series can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qurate Retail Series has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Qurate Retail Series had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Qurate Retail Series has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Qurate Retail Series has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Qurate Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qurate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qurate Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qurate Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 379.3 M |
Qurate Retail Technical Analysis
Qurate Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qurate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qurate Retail Series. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qurate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qurate Retail Predictive Forecast Models
Qurate Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qurate Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qurate Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qurate Retail Series
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qurate Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qurate Retail Series help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qurate Retail Series has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Qurate Retail Series had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Qurate Retail Series has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Qurate Retail Series has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Qurate Retail Backtesting, Qurate Retail Valuation, Qurate Retail Correlation, Qurate Retail Hype Analysis, Qurate Retail Volatility, Qurate Retail History as well as Qurate Retail Performance. Note that the Qurate Retail Series information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Qurate Retail's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Qurate Stock analysis
When running Qurate Retail's price analysis, check to measure Qurate Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qurate Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Qurate Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qurate Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qurate Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qurate Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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