Lennar Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 55.67

LEN -- USA Stock  

USD 54.15  1.05  1.98%

Lennar probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Lennar Corporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Lennar time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lennar odds to be computed. Please see also Lennar Backtesting, Lennar Valuation, Lennar Correlation, Lennar Hype Analysis, Lennar Volatility, Lennar History as well as Lennar Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Lennar Target Price Odds to finish over 55.67

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 55.67  or more in 30 days
 54.15 30 days 55.67 
NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Lennar to move over $ 55.67  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Lennar Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Lennar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Lennar price to stay between its current price of $ 54.15  and $ 55.67  at the end of the 30-day period is roughly 2.32%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Lennar has beta of 0.1365 indicating as returns on market go up, Lennar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Lennar Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0317 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0317% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Lennar Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.031699
β
Beta against DOW=0.14
σ
Overall volatility
=2.28
Ir
Information ratio =0.002046

Lennar Alerts and Suggestions

The company has $10.66 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
LENNAR CP CL A has about 821.65M in cash with (788.2M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.55.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from stockvisionary.com: Earnings Monitor Looking at Shares of Lennar Corporation - Stock Visionary

LennarPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out4.96%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.16
Short Percent Of Float6.39%
Float Shares294.16M
Shares Short Prior Month11.52M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.09M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.28M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.31%
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