Lpl Financial Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 92.31
| LPLA Stock | USD 266.90 2.61 0.99% |
Closest to current price LPL long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
LPL |
LPL Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 92.31
The tendency of LPL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 92.31 in 90 days |
| 266.90 | 90 days | 92.31 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LPL Financial to stay above $ 92.31 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This LPL Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of LPL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LPL Financial Holdings price to stay between $ 92.31 and its current price of $266.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days LPL Financial has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LPL Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LPL Financial Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LPL Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.1332, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LPL Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LPL Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LPL Financial Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LPL Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LPL Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LPL Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LPL Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LPL Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LPL Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
LPL Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LPL Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LPL Financial Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of March 2024 LPL Financial paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from barrons.com: Ex-Merrill Lynch Advisor With 820 Million Jumps to LPL Financial |
LPL Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LPL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LPL Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LPL Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
LPL Financial Technical Analysis
LPL Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LPL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LPL Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing LPL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LPL Financial Predictive Forecast Models
LPL Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many LPL Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LPL Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LPL Financial Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about LPL Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LPL Financial Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 26th of March 2024 LPL Financial paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from barrons.com: Ex-Merrill Lynch Advisor With 820 Million Jumps to LPL Financial |
Check out LPL Financial Backtesting, LPL Financial Valuation, LPL Financial Correlation, LPL Financial Hype Analysis, LPL Financial Volatility, LPL Financial History as well as LPL Financial Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for LPL Stock analysis
When running LPL Financial's price analysis, check to measure LPL Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LPL Financial is operating at the current time. Most of LPL Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LPL Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LPL Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LPL Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LPL Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LPL Financial. If investors know LPL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LPL Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 13.69 | Revenue Per Share 130.885 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.133 |
The market value of LPL Financial Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LPL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LPL Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LPL Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LPL Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LPL Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LPL Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LPL Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LPL Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.