Bank Leumi (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00

LUMI Stock  ILS 2,830  45.00  1.62%   
Bank Leumi's future price is the expected price of Bank Leumi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank Leumi Le Israel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bank Leumi Backtesting, Bank Leumi Valuation, Bank Leumi Correlation, Bank Leumi Hype Analysis, Bank Leumi Volatility, Bank Leumi History as well as Bank Leumi Performance.
  
Please specify Bank Leumi's target price for which you would like Bank Leumi odds to be computed.

Bank Leumi Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 0.00  or more in 90 days
 2,830 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Leumi to drop to S 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank Leumi Le Israel probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Leumi Le price to stay between S 0.00  and its current price of S2830.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Leumi Le Israel has a beta of -0.7. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank Leumi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank Leumi Le Israel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bank Leumi Le Israel has an alpha of 0.0069, implying that it can generate a 0.006893 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bank Leumi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bank Leumi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Leumi Le. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Leumi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,8282,8302,832
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,3992,4013,113
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Leumi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Leumi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Leumi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Leumi Le.

Bank Leumi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Leumi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Leumi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Leumi Le Israel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Leumi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.7
σ
Overall volatility
115.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Bank Leumi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Leumi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Leumi Le can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Leumi Le has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Bank Leumi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Leumi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Leumi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Bank Leumi Technical Analysis

Bank Leumi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Leumi Le Israel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank Leumi Predictive Forecast Models

Bank Leumi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Leumi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Leumi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank Leumi Le

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Leumi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Leumi Le help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank Leumi Le has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Check out Bank Leumi Backtesting, Bank Leumi Valuation, Bank Leumi Correlation, Bank Leumi Hype Analysis, Bank Leumi Volatility, Bank Leumi History as well as Bank Leumi Performance.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Bank Leumi's price analysis, check to measure Bank Leumi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Leumi is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Leumi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Leumi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Leumi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Leumi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Leumi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Leumi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Leumi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.