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Lamb Weston Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 90.5

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LW -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: February 29, 2020  

Lamb Weston probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Lamb Weston Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Lamb Weston time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lamb Weston odds to be computed. Additionally, see Lamb Weston Backtesting, Lamb Weston Valuation, Lamb Weston Correlation, Lamb Weston Hype Analysis, Lamb Weston Volatility, Lamb Weston History as well as Lamb Weston Performance.
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Lamb Weston Target Price Odds to finish below 90.5

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 90.50  or more in 30 days
 92.74 30 days 90.50 
about 62.56
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Lamb Weston to drop to $ 90.50  or more in 30 days from now is about 62.56 (This Lamb Weston Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lamb Weston Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Lamb Weston Holdings price to stay between $ 90.50  and its current price of $92.74 at the end of the 30-day period is about 17.3 .
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, Lamb Weston has beta of 0.241 indicating as returns on market go up, Lamb Weston average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Lamb Weston Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2009 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2009% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Lamb Weston Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.20
β
Beta against DOW=0.24
σ
Overall volatility
=4.32
Ir
Information ratio =0.15

Lamb Weston Alerts and Suggestions

Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On January 30, 2020 Lamb Weston paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Buy 3 Food Stocks That Have Crushed the Industry in 6 Months - Nasdaq

Lamb WestonPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.35%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.80
Short Percent Of Float2.66%
Float Shares145.21M
Shares Short Prior Month4.58M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day582.5k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month974.81k
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.84%