La Z Boy Incorporated Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.5

LZB Stock  USD 34.04  0.35  1.02%   
La Z's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on La Z Boy Incorporated. Implied volatility approximates the future value of La Z based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in La Z Boy Incorporated over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $35.0 is a CALL option contract on La Z's common stock with a strick price of 35.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-23 at 15:54:35 for $0.65 and, as of today, has 23 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $0.85. The implied volatility as of the 25th of April is 25.83. View All LZB options

Closest to current price LZB long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

La Z's future price is the expected price of La Z instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of La Z Boy Incorporated performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out La Z Backtesting, La Z Valuation, La Z Correlation, La Z Hype Analysis, La Z Volatility, La Z History as well as La Z Performance.
  
At present, La Z's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 1.46, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.15. Please specify La Z's target price for which you would like La Z odds to be computed.

La Z Target Price Odds to finish below 31.5

The tendency of LZB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 31.50  or more in 90 days
 34.04 90 days 31.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of La Z to drop to $ 31.50  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This La Z Boy Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of LZB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of La Z Boy price to stay between $ 31.50  and its current price of $34.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.93 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, La Z will likely underperform. Additionally La Z Boy Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   La Z Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for La Z

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as La Z Boy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of La Z's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.1634.0035.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.6438.9340.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.9733.8035.64
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.1343.0047.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as La Z. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against La Z's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, La Z's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in La Z Boy.

La Z Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. La Z is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the La Z's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold La Z Boy Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of La Z within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.90
σ
Overall volatility
1.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

La Z Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of La Z for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for La Z Boy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
La Z Boy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of March 2024 La Z paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from forbes.com: Kicking Back With La-Z-Boy For 56 percent Annualized Return Potential

La Z Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LZB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential La Z's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. La Z's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments343.4 M

La Z Technical Analysis

La Z's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LZB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of La Z Boy Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing LZB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

La Z Predictive Forecast Models

La Z's time-series forecasting models is one of many La Z's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary La Z's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about La Z Boy

Checking the ongoing alerts about La Z for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for La Z Boy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
La Z Boy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of March 2024 La Z paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from forbes.com: Kicking Back With La-Z-Boy For 56 percent Annualized Return Potential
When determining whether La Z Boy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of La Z's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of La Z Boy Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on La Z Boy Incorporated Stock:
Check out La Z Backtesting, La Z Valuation, La Z Correlation, La Z Hype Analysis, La Z Volatility, La Z History as well as La Z Performance.
Note that the La Z Boy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other La Z's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for LZB Stock analysis

When running La Z's price analysis, check to measure La Z's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy La Z is operating at the current time. Most of La Z's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of La Z's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move La Z's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of La Z to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is La Z's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of La Z. If investors know LZB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about La Z listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Dividend Share
0.745
Earnings Share
2.7
Revenue Per Share
47.71
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
The market value of La Z Boy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LZB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of La Z's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is La Z's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because La Z's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect La Z's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between La Z's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if La Z is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, La Z's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.