Lazard Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.17
| LZEMX Fund | USD 17.18 0.09 0.53% |
Lazard |
Lazard Emerging Target Price Odds to finish over 12.17
The tendency of Lazard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 12.17 in 90 days |
| 17.18 | 90 days | 12.17 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lazard Emerging to stay above $ 12.17 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lazard Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Lazard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lazard Emerging Markets price to stay between $ 12.17 and its current price of $17.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lazard Emerging has a beta of 0.79. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lazard Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lazard Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lazard Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.0023, implying that it can generate a 0.002277 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lazard Emerging Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lazard Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazard Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lazard Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lazard Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lazard Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lazard Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lazard Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lazard Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Lazard Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lazard Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lazard Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Lazard Emerging Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lazard Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lazard Emerging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lazard Emerging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Lazard Emerging Technical Analysis
Lazard Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lazard Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lazard Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lazard Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lazard Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
Lazard Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lazard Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lazard Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lazard Emerging Markets
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lazard Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lazard Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check out Lazard Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lazard Emerging Correlation, Lazard Emerging Hype Analysis, Lazard Emerging Volatility, Lazard Emerging History as well as Lazard Emerging Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.