Mid America Apartment Communities Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 128.75
| MAA Stock | USD 124.65 0.15 0.12% |
Closest to current price Mid long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Mid |
Mid America Target Price Odds to finish over 128.75
The tendency of Mid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 128.75 or more in 90 days |
| 124.65 | 90 days | 128.75 | about 41.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mid America to move over $ 128.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.63 (This Mid America Apartment Communities probability density function shows the probability of Mid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mid America Apartment price to stay between its current price of $ 124.65 and $ 128.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.71 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mid America will likely underperform. Additionally Mid America Apartment Communities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Mid America Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mid America
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mid America Apartment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mid America's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mid America Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mid America is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mid America's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mid America Apartment Communities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mid America within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Mid America Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mid America for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mid America Apartment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mid America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 4.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is OK given its current industry classification. Mid America Apartment has a current ratio of 0.19, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Mid America until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mid America's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mid America Apartment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mid to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mid America's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 96.0% of Mid America shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 629 shares by Melanie Carpenter of Mid America at 128.7 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Mid America Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mid America's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mid America's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.3 M |
Mid America Technical Analysis
Mid America's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mid Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mid America Apartment Communities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mid Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mid America Predictive Forecast Models
Mid America's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mid America's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mid America's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mid America Apartment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mid America for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mid America Apartment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mid America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 4.57 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is OK given its current industry classification. Mid America Apartment has a current ratio of 0.19, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Mid America until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mid America's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mid America Apartment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mid to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mid America's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 96.0% of Mid America shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 629 shares by Melanie Carpenter of Mid America at 128.7 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Mid America Backtesting, Mid America Valuation, Mid America Correlation, Mid America Hype Analysis, Mid America Volatility, Mid America History as well as Mid America Performance. Note that the Mid America Apartment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mid America's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for Mid Stock analysis
When running Mid America's price analysis, check to measure Mid America's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mid America is operating at the current time. Most of Mid America's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mid America's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mid America's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mid America to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mid America's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mid America. If investors know Mid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mid America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 5.6 | Earnings Share 4.7 | Revenue Per Share 18.438 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
The market value of Mid America Apartment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mid America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mid America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mid America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mid America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mid America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mid America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mid America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.