Manchester United Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.06
| MANU Stock | USD 15.79 0.24 1.54% |
Manchester |
Manchester United Target Price Odds to finish below 12.06
The tendency of Manchester Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.06 or more in 90 days |
| 15.79 | 90 days | 12.06 | about 5.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manchester United to drop to $ 12.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.48 (This Manchester United probability density function shows the probability of Manchester Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Manchester United price to stay between $ 12.06 and its current price of $15.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Manchester United has a beta of -0.93. This indicates Additionally Manchester United has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Manchester United Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Manchester United
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manchester United. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manchester United's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Manchester United Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manchester United is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manchester United's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manchester United, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manchester United within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Manchester United Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manchester United for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manchester United can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Manchester United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Manchester United has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company currently holds 622.18 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.02, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Manchester United has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Manchester United until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Manchester United's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Manchester United sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Manchester to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Manchester United's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 648.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 547.17 M. | |
| Over 76.0% of Manchester United shares are owned by institutional investors |
Manchester United Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manchester Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manchester United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manchester United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 163.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76 M |
Manchester United Technical Analysis
Manchester United's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manchester Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manchester United. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manchester Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manchester United Predictive Forecast Models
Manchester United's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manchester United's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manchester United's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manchester United
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manchester United for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manchester United help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Manchester United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Manchester United has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company currently holds 622.18 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.02, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Manchester United has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Manchester United until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Manchester United's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Manchester United sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Manchester to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Manchester United's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 648.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (32.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 547.17 M. | |
| Over 76.0% of Manchester United shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Manchester United Backtesting, Manchester United Valuation, Manchester United Correlation, Manchester United Hype Analysis, Manchester United Volatility, Manchester United History as well as Manchester United Performance. For more information on how to buy Manchester Stock please use our How to Invest in Manchester United guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Manchester Stock analysis
When running Manchester United's price analysis, check to measure Manchester United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manchester United is operating at the current time. Most of Manchester United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manchester United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manchester United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manchester United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Manchester United's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Manchester United. If investors know Manchester will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Manchester United listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Manchester United is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Manchester that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Manchester United's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Manchester United's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Manchester United's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Manchester United's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Manchester United's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Manchester United is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Manchester United's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.