MeguREIT Israel (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 87.1
| MGRT Stock | 432.70 13.80 3.09% |
MeguREIT |
MeguREIT Israel Target Price Odds to finish below 87.1
The tendency of MeguREIT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 87.10 or more in 90 days |
| 432.70 | 90 days | 87.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MeguREIT Israel to drop to 87.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This MeguREIT Israel probability density function shows the probability of MeguREIT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MeguREIT Israel price to stay between 87.10 and its current price of 432.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MeguREIT Israel has a beta of 0.0494. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MeguREIT Israel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MeguREIT Israel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MeguREIT Israel has an alpha of 0.181, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MeguREIT Israel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MeguREIT Israel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MeguREIT Israel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MeguREIT Israel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MeguREIT Israel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MeguREIT Israel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MeguREIT Israel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MeguREIT Israel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MeguREIT Israel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 30.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
MeguREIT Israel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MeguREIT Israel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MeguREIT Israel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MeguREIT Israel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| MeguREIT Israel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| MeguREIT Israel has accumulated about 62.58 M in cash with (8.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. |
MeguREIT Israel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MeguREIT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MeguREIT Israel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MeguREIT Israel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 636.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.1 |
MeguREIT Israel Technical Analysis
MeguREIT Israel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MeguREIT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MeguREIT Israel. In general, you should focus on analyzing MeguREIT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MeguREIT Israel Predictive Forecast Models
MeguREIT Israel's time-series forecasting models is one of many MeguREIT Israel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MeguREIT Israel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MeguREIT Israel
Checking the ongoing alerts about MeguREIT Israel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MeguREIT Israel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MeguREIT Israel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| MeguREIT Israel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| MeguREIT Israel has accumulated about 62.58 M in cash with (8.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. |
Check out MeguREIT Israel Backtesting, MeguREIT Israel Valuation, MeguREIT Israel Correlation, MeguREIT Israel Hype Analysis, MeguREIT Israel Volatility, MeguREIT Israel History as well as MeguREIT Israel Performance. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Complementary Tools for MeguREIT Stock analysis
When running MeguREIT Israel's price analysis, check to measure MeguREIT Israel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MeguREIT Israel is operating at the current time. Most of MeguREIT Israel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MeguREIT Israel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MeguREIT Israel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MeguREIT Israel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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